Capital Market Outlook
March 9, 2020
IN THIS ISSUE
- Macro Strategy— Damages, Responses and the Other Side — As we expect the Covid-19 virus fears to fade sometime in the first half of the year, key catalysts for equity positioning will be manufacturing/export data, interest rates, policy responses and the dollar.
- Global Market View— Global Economic Activity by the Numbers as Growth Risks Rise — Downside risks to global economic activity have risen with the spread of Covid-19 to more than 70 countries outside China.
- Thought of the Week— Clear as Mud — Global supply chains and manufacturing are disrupted by Covid-19, but there is also demand disruption as consumers and businesses alter their spending behaviors to reduce the risk of exposure to this virus.
Important Disclosures
All data, projections and opinions are as of the date of this report and subject to change.
This material was prepared by the Chief Investment Office (CIO) and is not a publication of BofA Global Research. The views expressed are those of the CIO only and are subject to change. This information should not be construed as investment advice. It is presented for information purposes only and is not intended to be either a specific offer by any Merrill or Bank of America entity to sell or provide, or a specific invitation for a consumer to apply for, any particular retail financial product or service that may be available.
Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM) is a division of Bank of America Corporation. The Chief Investment Office, which provides investment strategies, due diligence, portfolio construction guidance and wealth management solutions for GWIM clients, is part of the Investment Solutions Group (ISG) of GWIM.
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
All recommendations must be considered in the context of an individual investor’s goals, time horizon, liquidity needs and risk tolerance. Not all recommendations will be suitable for all investors.
Investments have varying degrees of risk. Some of the risks involved with equity securities include the possibility that the value of the stocks may fluctuate in response to events specific to the companies or markets, as well as economic, political or social events in the U.S. or abroad. Bonds are subject to interest rate, inflation and credit risks. Treasury bills are less volatile than longer-term fixed income securities and are guaranteed as to timely payment of principal and interest by the U.S. government. Investments in foreign securities (including ADRs) involve special risks, including foreign currency risk and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. These risks are magnified for investments made in emerging markets. Investments in a certain industry or sector may pose additional risk due to lack of diversification and sector concentration.
